Authored by: Dr. Stuart Barclay
Australia’s bushfire risk is rising as the climate changes. Hotter temperatures, shifting rainfall, and more extreme weather lead to fires that are both frequent and intense.
Four key factors drive this risk:
- Fuel load: More vegetation means more material to burn.
- Dryness: Warmer, drier conditions remove moisture from plants.
- Extreme weather: Heatwaves and strong winds increase fire intensity.
- Natural ignition: More frequent lightning strikes can spark new fires.
To help communities measure their bushfire risk and improve resilience, the Bushfire Attack Level (BAL) rates a location’s potential exposure to embers, radiant heat, and direct flame. Defined in Australian Standard AS 3959-2018, the BAL rating guides building design and community planning to reduce the likelihood of damage from bushfires.
BAL ratings depend on accurate, site-specific data.